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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 07/08 11:33
Cattle Dip Lower Wednesday, While Hogs Rally
Still no cash cattle trade has developed but asking prices are noted at $400
in eastern Nebraska.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed again as the cattle contracts
continue to err on the side of caution while the lean hogs contracts are
trading higher. Asking prices have been noted at $400 in eastern Nebraska.
December corn is down 7 cents per bushel and December soybean meal is down
$4.90. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 711.85 points and NASDAQ is
down 118.48 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Live cattle futures are continuing to scale lower as, simply put, there
isn't enough immediate support in the market to keep the contracts from trading
lower. With boxed beef prices lower and the assumption the cash market could be
pushed lower again this week too, traders are erring on the side of extra
caution while the market continues to look for support. August live cattle are
down $1.65 at $236.77, October live cattle are down $1.37 at $232.65 and
December live cattle are down $1.50 at $232.50. Asking prices are noted at $400
in eastern Nebraska, but otherwise the cash market is sitting idle.
Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $3.56 ($382.21) and select down
$2.99 ($362.90) with a movement of 75 loads (48.91 loads of choice, 9.61 loads
of select, 9.86 loads of trim and 7.09 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Although feeder cattle demand has been relatively strong this week, traders
aren't going to move the feeder cattle contracts in the opposite direction of
the live cattle contracts. August feeders are down $1.62 at $359.10, September
feeders are down $1.27 at $356.12 and October feeders are down $1.90 at
$351.87. The spot August contract continues to hover around the market's
100-day and 40-day moving averages -- hoping some form of stronger support will
arise quickly and keep the market from sinking sharply below those thresholds.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog contracts are seeing some additional support Wednesday. We are
currently seeing a rally anywhere between $1.00 to $2.00 higher heading into
Wednesday's noon hour. It's helpful that packers have been more aggressive this
week in the cash market and that this morning pork cutout values are higher.
Both factors help encourage traders to continue to push the contracts higher.
July lean hogs are up $0.82 at $94.27, August lean hogs are up $1.90 at $98.82
and October lean hogs are up $2.67 at $84.35.
The projected CME Lean Hog Index for 7/7/2026 is up $0.32 at $91.98 and the
actual index for 7/6/2026 is up $0.11 at $91.66. Hog prices average $96.89 on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, ranging from $86.00 to $96.89 on 2,480
head and a five-day rolling average of $96.64. Pork cutouts total 164.87 loads
with 136.08 loads of pork cuts and 28.78 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up
$1.07, $98.98.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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